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Once again the USA is walking into
Africa spraying kerosene on an open fire. In this case they are
compounding the tragedy of Somalia. Specifically, elements in
the US government are moving to partition Somalia.
After having encouraged Ethiopia to invade Somalia in order to
crush the Union of Islamic Courts, the Bush administration found
itself embroiled in another quagmire, this time one involving
Ethiopian troops rather than US troops.
Though the Ethiopians initially defeated the forces of the Union
of Islamic Courts, the situation quickly evolved into a
guerrilla war of resistance against the Ethiopian occupation.
Today's reality is such that the Ethiopian invaders are nowhere
near victory.
With no acceptable way to resolve the situation favorable to the
Bush administration, some geniuses in Washington, DC have come
up with a new idea: partition Somalia! Focusing on the former
British controlled part of Somalia which seceded from the rest
of the country and calls itself ''Somaliland,'' some in Congress
and the Administration have moved to recognize this mini-state,
a state unrecognized by the rest of the world.
If any of this sounds familiar it is due to the discussions that
have taken place over the last couple of years regarding
dividing up Iraq in the face of the resistance to the US
Occupation and the ethnic-religious-political conflicts it has
inspired.
Such an idea has been repeatedly rejected by Iraqi
organizations. Nevertheless there are those in the USA who
believe that they truly know better than the people of Iraq, so
the idea has not disappeared.
In the case of Somalia, the Bush administration recognizes that
it has helped to foment another disaster, though in this case
the Ethiopians are in the line of fire. Rather than defer to the
African Union and promote a peaceful resolution of the
conflict--which must begin with an Ethiopian troop
withdrawal--those in Washington promoting a partition are
suggesting a course that might serve US military interests but
are not serving the interests of the Somali people.
There are several implications of the
pursuit of the partition of Somalia, all of which are bad. These
include:
1. It may leave the rest of Somalia in a state of warfare with a
combination of the clans fighting other clans, along side a
military resistance to the Ethiopian occupation.
2. It may encourage other regions within Africa to secede from
their nation-states based on the assumption that they will
eventually receive US recognition. This is not a far-fetched
notion, by the way. The breakup of the former Yugoslavia was
directly related to the signal that Germany, and later other
powers, made that it would recognize Slovenia and Croatia if
they withdrew from the Yugoslav Federal Republic. While it is
true that the national boundaries of African states are
holdovers from colonialism, a process of national disintegration
is not in the interests of the continent and its people.
3. It may turn ''Somaliland'' into another base for US military
operations in the Horn of Africa.
Given these scenarios, it is of critical importance that we in
the USA convey to our political leaders that they should not
fish in troubled waters. If they wish to help Somalia, the US
government should work directly with the African Union on the
removal of Ethiopian troops and the commencement of a peace
process.
No other course of action will be of any help to the people of
Somalia, let alone to the people of the Continent.
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